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Today's Tips — Saturday, June 13, 2026

FIFA World Cup⏳ Pending

⏰ Kickoff: 19:00:00 UTC

Qatar

Switzerland

Our Pick

Over 1.5

@ 1.22

Model gives 90.9% win probability for this selection at odds 1.22. Selected as main pick by our model.

91% — High AI Confidence

2/3 models agree

▶ Model breakdown

Model	Home	Draw	Away	Pick
Poisson	41%	27%	31%	🏠
Dixon-Coles	37%	28%	35%	🏠
Ensemble	39%	28%	33%	—

Most likely scores:

1-1 (13.4%)2-1 (8.4%)1-2 (8.2%)

Over 1.5: 73%Over 2.5: 47%Over 3.5: 26%BTTS: 53%

Score probability heatmap (exp. 0.67 - 3.32 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.8%	6.1%	10.1%	11.2%	9.3%
1	1.2%	4.1%	6.8%	7.6%	6.3%
2	0.4%	1.4%	2.3%	2.5%	2.1%
3	0.1%	0.3%	0.5%	0.6%	0.5%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%

Most likely score: 0-3 (11.2%)

Qatar winDrawSwitzerland win

FIFA World Cup⏳ Pending

⏰ Kickoff: 22:00:00 UTC

Brazil

Morocco

Our Pick

Under 3.5

@ 1.25

Model gives 83.5% win probability for this selection at odds 1.25. Selected as main pick by our model.

83% — High AI Confidence

2/3 models agree

▶ Model breakdown

Model	Home	Draw	Away	Pick
Poisson	41%	27%	31%	🏠
Dixon-Coles	37%	28%	35%	🏠
Ensemble	39%	28%	33%	—

Most likely scores:

1-1 (13.4%)2-1 (8.4%)1-2 (8.2%)

Over 1.5: 73%Over 2.5: 47%Over 3.5: 26%BTTS: 53%

Score probability heatmap (exp. 0.95 - 1.17 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.0%	14.0%	8.2%	3.2%	0.9%
1	11.4%	13.3%	7.8%	3.0%	0.9%
2	5.5%	6.4%	3.7%	1.4%	0.4%
3	1.7%	2.0%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.4%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Most likely score: 0-1 (14.0%)

Brazil winDrawMorocco win

FIFA World Cup⏳ Pending

⏰ Kickoff: 01:00:00 UTC

Haiti

Scotland

Our Pick

Over 1.5

@ 1.28

Model gives 81.1% win probability for this selection at odds 1.28. Selected as main pick by our model.

81% — High AI Confidence

Score probability heatmap (exp. 1.24 - 1.83 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.7%	8.5%	7.8%	4.7%	2.2%
1	5.8%	10.5%	9.6%	5.9%	2.7%
2	3.6%	6.5%	6.0%	3.6%	1.7%
3	1.5%	2.7%	2.5%	1.5%	0.7%
4	0.5%	0.8%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%

Most likely score: 1-1 (10.5%)

Haiti winDrawScotland win

Parlay picks — high probability

Match	Pick	AIC	Odd	Value
Qatar vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup 19:00	Over 1.5	90.9%	1.22	+10.9%
Brazil vs Morocco FIFA World Cup 22:00	Under 3.5	83.5%	1.25	+4.4%
Haiti vs Scotland FIFA World Cup 01:00	Over 1.5	81.1%	1.28	+3.8%
Australia vs Türkiye FIFA World Cup 04:00	Under 3.5	77.9%	1.30	+1.3%

Sorted by model probability (highest first). For parlay-style combination picks. Analytical view, not betting advice.

Value picks — highest expected edge

Match	Pick	AIC	Odd	Value
Qatar vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup 19:00	Over 2.5	76.2%	1.70	+29.5%
Haiti vs Scotland FIFA World Cup 01:00	Over 2.5	59.2%	1.90	+12.5%
Brazil vs Morocco FIFA World Cup 22:00	Under 2.5	64.4%	1.70	+9.5%

Sorted by model value (highest expected edge first). Analytical view, not betting advice.

Market probabilities for every match

CategoryMarketMin %Min oddsMax odds

Match	Home%	Draw%	Away%	O2.5	U2.5
Tip: click a match row to see all betting markets. Markets are sorted by model value (positive value = model rates pick higher than bookmaker odds suggest). Markets without odds are shown last for reference.
Qatar vs Switzerland ▼ FIFA World Cup 19:00 UTC	4% @13.50 -43.3%	9% @6.20 -44.8%	87% @1.21 +5.1%	76% @1.70 +29.5%	24% @2.10 -50%
VALUE PICK Over 3.5 57% @ 2.75 +55.9% value VALUE PICK Over 2.5 76% @ 1.70 +29.5% value VALUE PICK Over 1.5 91% @ 1.22 +10.9% value VALUE PICK Switzerland Win 87% @ 1.21 +5.1% value SAFE BET Qatar or Switzerland - Double Chance (12) 91% @ 1.11 +1.1% value LONGSHOT BTTS Yes 47% @ 2.38 +12.3% value AVOID Switzerland or Draw - Double Chance (X2) 96% @ 1.03 -1.3% value AVOID Qatar +4.5 83% @ 1.00 -17.1% value AVOID BTTS No 53% @ 1.53 -19.2% value AVOID Qatar +3.5 68% @ 1.16 -20.7% value AVOID Qatar +2.5 49% @ 1.42 -30% value AVOID Qatar +1.5 29% @ 2.15 -37.4% value AVOID Under 3.5 43% @ 1.44 -37.6% value AVOID Qatar Win 4% @ 13.50 -43.3% value AVOID Draw 9% @ 6.20 -44.8% value AVOID Qatar or Draw - Double Chance (1X) 13% @ 4.20 -45% value AVOID Qatar +0.5 13% @ 4.15 -45.6% value AVOID Under 2.5 24% @ 2.10 -50% value AVOID Qatar -0.5 4% @ 11.00 -53.8% value AVOID Under 1.5 9% @ 4.20 -61.8% value AVOID Qatar -1.5 1% @ 33.00 -67% value
Brazil vs Morocco ▼ FIFA World Cup 22:00 UTC	30% @1.67 -50.2%	30% @3.65 +8%	41% @5.30 +115.7%	36% @2.10 -25.2%	64% @1.70 +9.5%
VALUE PICK Morocco or Draw - Double Chance (X2) 70% @ 2.10 +47.4% value VALUE PICK Under 2.5 64% @ 1.70 +9.5% value SAFE BET Under 3.5 84% @ 1.25 +4.4% value SAFE BET BTTS No 58% @ 1.75 +1% value LONGSHOT Morocco Win 41% @ 5.30 +115.7% value LONGSHOT Under 1.5 37% @ 3.00 +12.2% value LONGSHOT Draw 30% @ 3.65 +8% value AVOID Brazil or Morocco - Double Chance (12) 70% @ 1.25 -12% value AVOID Over 1.5 63% @ 1.38 -13.6% value AVOID Brazil +1.5 83% @ 1.02 -15.6% value AVOID BTTS Yes 42% @ 1.95 -17.5% value AVOID Over 2.5 36% @ 2.10 -25.2% value AVOID Brazil +0.5 59% @ 1.17 -30.6% value AVOID Brazil or Draw - Double Chance (1X) 59% @ 1.14 -32.4% value AVOID Over 3.5 17% @ 3.80 -37.3% value AVOID Brazil Win 30% @ 1.67 -50.2% value AVOID Brazil -0.5 30% @ 1.67 -50.2% value AVOID Brazil -1.5 11% @ 2.85 -69.5% value AVOID Brazil -2.5 3% @ 6.00 -82.6% value AVOID Brazil -3.5 1% @ 11.00 -93.4% value
Haiti vs Scotland ▼ FIFA World Cup 01:00 UTC	26% @5.50 +42.5%	23% @4.10 -6.1%	51% @1.57 -19.6%	59% @1.90 +12.5%	41% @1.85 -24.5%
VALUE PICK Haiti +1.5 71% @ 1.62 +15.5% value VALUE PICK BTTS Yes 60% @ 1.91 +13.8% value VALUE PICK Over 2.5 59% @ 1.90 +12.5% value SAFE BET Over 1.5 81% @ 1.28 +3.8% value SAFE BET Haiti +2.5 87% @ 1.17 +1.7% value LONGSHOT Haiti Win 26% @ 5.50 +42.5% value LONGSHOT Haiti -0.5 26% @ 5.50 +42.5% value LONGSHOT Over 3.5 37% @ 3.25 +19.6% value LONGSHOT Haiti +0.5 49% @ 2.45 +19.6% value LONGSHOT Haiti -1.5 11% @ 11.00 +16.6% value LONGSHOT Haiti or Draw - Double Chance (1X) 49% @ 2.38 +16.1% value AVOID Haiti +3.5 95% @ 1.01 -3.9% value AVOID Draw 23% @ 4.10 -6.1% value AVOID Haiti or Scotland - Double Chance (12) 77% @ 1.18 -9% value AVOID Under 3.5 63% @ 1.33 -15.9% value AVOID Scotland or Draw - Double Chance (X2) 74% @ 1.13 -16.3% value AVOID Scotland Win 51% @ 1.57 -19.6% value AVOID Under 2.5 41% @ 1.85 -24.5% value AVOID BTTS No 40% @ 1.80 -27.3% value AVOID Under 1.5 19% @ 3.55 -32.9% value
Australia vs Türkiye ▼ FIFA World Cup 04:00 UTC	46% @4.90 +125.9%	27% @3.55 -4.2%	27% @1.70 -54.3%	43% @2.00 -14%	57% @1.80 +2.6%
VALUE PICK Australia +0.5 73% @ 2.15 +57.2% value VALUE PICK Australia or Draw - Double Chance (1X) 73% @ 2.10 +53.5% value VALUE PICK Australia +1.5 90% @ 1.40 +26.3% value VALUE PICK Australia +2.5 97% @ 1.12 +9% value SAFE BET Under 2.5 57% @ 1.80 +2.6% value SAFE BET Australia +3.5 99% @ 1.02 +1.4% value SAFE BET Under 3.5 78% @ 1.30 +1.3% value LONGSHOT Australia -2.5 8% @ 32.00 +168.8% value LONGSHOT Australia -1.5 22% @ 10.50 +133.1% value LONGSHOT Australia Win 46% @ 4.90 +125.9% value LONGSHOT Australia -0.5 46% @ 4.65 +114.4% value Under 1.5 31% @ 3.25 +0.1% value AVOID BTTS No 52% @ 1.83 -4.1% value AVOID Draw 27% @ 3.55 -4.2% value AVOID Over 1.5 69% @ 1.33 -8% value AVOID Australia or Türkiye - Double Chance (12) 73% @ 1.22 -10.9% value AVOID BTTS Yes 48% @ 1.85 -11.9% value AVOID Over 2.5 43% @ 2.00 -14% value AVOID Over 3.5 22% @ 3.45 -23.8% value AVOID Türkiye or Draw - Double Chance (X2) 54% @ 1.15 -38% value AVOID Türkiye Win 27% @ 1.70 -54.3% value

🎯

Today's Parlay

Combine all 3 picks into one bet

Combined Odds @ 1.95

1 Qatar vs Switzerland Over 1.5 @ 1.22

2 Brazil vs Morocco Under 3.5 @ 1.25

3 Haiti vs Scotland Over 1.5 @ 1.28

💰 Quick Examples

€10 in → €19.52

€25 in → €48.80

€50 in → €97.60

My stake (€)

€

Potential return €19.52 profit: €9.52

⚠️ Bet responsibly. 18+ only.

45Total Tips

33Won

11Lost

75%Win Rate

+11.6%ROI

45Total Tips

33Won

11Lost

75%Win Rate

+11.6%ROI

38Total Tips

29Won

8Lost

78%Win Rate

+14%ROI

Stats based on settled tips only. ROI calculated per unit staked.

🔥

4 Win Streak

10 Best streak

Last 10 settled main picks (since May 11)

Latest Analysis

In-depth breakdowns of our daily picks. Find out why we selected each bet.

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